Spurs vs. Thunder predictions, odds for: 2026 NBA Western Conference Game 1 finals pick

The 2026 NBA Western Conference Finals continues as the second-seeded San Antonio Spurs take on the top-seeded Oklahoma City Thunder on Monday night. San Antonio is coming off a 139-109 victory over the Minnesota Timberwolves on Friday to win its semifinal series 4-2, while Oklahoma City downed the Los Angeles Lakers 115-110 on May 11 to sweep its series. De’Aaron Fox (ankle) and Luke Kornet (foot) are questionable for San Antonio. Jalen Williams (hamstring) will be available for OKC after playing the final game in Game 2 of the first-round series against the Suns.

Tipoff from the Paycom Center in Oklahoma City is set for 8:30 pm ET. Thunder are 6.5 point favorites in Spurs vs. The latest Thunder odds from FanDuel Sportsbook, while the over/under totals 221.5 points. Victor Wembanyama’s over/under total points is 23.5, while MVP Shai Gilgeous-Alexander’s is 30.5. Before making any Thunder vs. Spurs, check predictions for Spurs vs. Thunder from the SportsLine Projection Model.

The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every NBA game 10,000 times and has returned more than $10,000 per $100 player bet profit on its top NBA picks over eight plus seasons. The model entered the conference finals of the 2026 NBA playoffs with an impressive 26-10 record (72%) among the NBA’s top distribution picks this season. Anyone who follows their NBA betting tips in sportsbooks and betting systems may have seen huge profits.

Now, the model has compared the Spurs vs. Thunder 10,000 times and recently revealed its coveted NBA picks and betting predictions. You can head over to SportsLine now to see the model selection. Here are a few NBA odds and NBA betting lines for Thunder vs. Spurs:

Top predictions for Spurs vs. Thunder

After 10,000 plays of Spurs vs. Thunder, the SportsLine model is comes under the total (221.5). The Unders have won six of their last ten head-to-head meetings, including three of five this season. The Under also hit 51 of the Spurs’ last 94 with one push when the line was over 205. The Under hit 25 of San Antonio’s 48 road games with one push when the Spurs faced teams allowing 102 points or more.

The SportsLine model projects only three Spurs players to score 13 or more points, led by Victor Wembanyama’s 24.7. Shai Gilgeous-Alexander is expected to lead the Thunder with 29.7 points, but three Oklahoma City players are expected to score 16 or more points. Teams are projected to total 213 points as the Under hits on 64% of the shots, making it a good choice for anyone targeting the NBA. parlay betting. See the spread picks for Spurs vs. Thunder on SportsLine, and you can bet Under in Thunder vs. Spurs on FanDuel here:

How to make a Spurs vs. Thunder

After simulating each Spurs vs. Thunder 10,000 times, the model also says that one side of the distribution is a better value. You can head over to SportsLine to see the NBA’s model selection.

So who wins Spurs vs. Thunder, and which side of the spread is the better value? Visit SportsLine now to see which side Spurs vs. Thunder spread back, all from a model that returned more than $10,000 to the NBA’s top-rated draft pick, and get.