Rousey vs. Carano odds, predictions: 2026 Netflix MVP MMA picks by certified MMA expert
Former UFC champion Ronda Rousey takes on former EliteXC contender Gina Carano on Saturday as Netflix presents a full MVP MMA card featuring many of the sport’s most iconic figures. The five-round main event tops the main card (9 p.m. ET) from the Intuit Dome in Los Angeles. The latest odds for Rousey vs. Carano with DraftKings lists Rousey as a -625 favorite ($625 risk to win $100), while Carano is priced at +455 ($100 risk to win $455). The over/under is 1.5 rounds, with the Under picked at -230 and the Over at +175.
Other notable odds on the May 16 Neflix MMA fight card include Mike Perry (-205) vs. Nate Diaz (+170) and Francis Ngannou (-1350) vs. Philip Lins (+800). Before closing your Netflix MMA card be sure to check out the Netflix MMA predictions and betting tips from SportsLine expert Josh Nagel.
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Nagel, SportsLine’s combat sports editor, is an experienced and successful boxing analyst. He was previously a sports analyst for SportsLine and covered the sport for more than 20 years. He recently returned to his role as a boxing analyst for SportsLine and had a very lucrative 2025 campaign. Perhaps his biggest win was driving Terence Crawford (+140) against Canelo Alvarez in their big September fight, while rightly advising SportsLine members to take Crawford outright by decision (+220).
His MMA picks include calling Sean Strickland (+220) over Anthony Hernandez and Charles Oliveira (+150) over Max Holloway.
Anyone who followed Nagel’s fight sports picks this year could still be over $2,500
Now, as this Netflix MMA card approaches, Nagel has read Ronda Rousey vs. Gina Carano from all angles and revealed her top picks and bets. Go to SportsLine to see them.
Preview of Ronda Rousey vs. Gina Carano
Rousey, 39, will be competing for the first time in 10 years. He posted a career record of 12-2, winning three by knockout and nine by submission. She was outstanding in her first career, joining the UFC in February 2013. She won her first six UFC fights, before being knocked out in the second round of UFC 193 by Holly Holm.
In her last fight, she lost by TKO to Amanda Nunes at UFC 207 in the UFC Women’s Bantamweight Championship. Prior to her MMA career, she was a decorated Olympian in women’s judo. At the 2008 Beijing Olympics, he won a bronze medal at 70 kg. He won gold at the 2007 Rio de Janeiro Pan American Games. Check out SportsLine for Nagel’s picks and analysis.
Carano, 44, competed in Elite Xtreme Combat and Strikeforce from 2006 to 2009. In eight career games, he compiled a 7-1 record, winning his first seven seasons. He won three by knockout, one by submission and three by decision. In his last match at Strikeforce: Carano vs. Cybord on Aug. 15, 2009, lost by TKO to Cris Cyborg in the women’s featherweight championship.
After that fight, he retired from competition. He then transitioned from the ring to film work. His first major role was in the action film Haywire in 2011. He also appeared in Fast & Furious 6 (2013) and Deadpool (2016). You can only see Nagel’s picks and analysis on SportsLine.
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MMA card for Netflix: Rousey vs. Carano
One of Nagel’s Rousey vs. Carano: Backs over 1.5 rounds on Ngannou vs. Lins, now to play at +200.
“We’re going to try to squeeze the tricky value from the Over 1.5 rounds into a sweet value, and we’re going to need help from Lins to do that,” Nagel said. “Lins left the UFC on a four-fight winning streak at light heavyweight and went on the cards in four of his last six fights. The 40-year-old is a black belt in Brazilian Jiu-Jitsu and the ground game represents his only logical way to win against the 39-year-old Ngannou. If Lins can disrupt this attack and can’t attack Ngannou first, we can attack Ngannou first. around, and this ingredient sounds like the best position for more money in this fight.” See who else is coming back here.
How to make an MMA card: Rousey’s picks vs. Carano
Nagel also has a solid Rousey vs. Carano and other fights on the Netflix MMA card. He also backs an “underdog who is able to fully win on a hard-to-find card to score important points,” to come away with a big win. He shares his identity only on SportsLine.
Who wins Rousey vs. Carano, and how exactly does the war end? Visit SportsLine now for detailed picks and analysis from an unparalleled expert with over $2,500 in winnings on his combat sports picks this year, and find out.
Netflix MMA main fight card, odds
See the picks at SportsLine.
(Odds are from DraftKings and are subject to change)
Ronda Rousey (-625) vs. Gina Carano (+455)
Nate Diaz (+170) vs. Mike Perry (-205)
Francis Ngannou (-1350) vs. Philippe Lins (+800)
Salahdine Parnasse (-1350) vs. Kenneth Cross (+800)
Junior dos Santos (+250) vs. Robelis Despaigne (-310)
