Prediction of Thunder vs. Spurs, odds: 2026 NBA Western Conference finals in Game 6

The San Antonio Spurs will look to draw even with the Oklahoma City Thunder when they meet in Game 6 of the NBA Western Conference Finals on Thursday night. Oklahoma City regained control of the series with a 127-114 win on Tuesday night. The Thunder (64-18), who won the Northwest Division title, are looking to win back-to-back NBA championships. The Spurs (62-20), who won the Southwest Division, are looking to reach the NBA Finals for the first time since 2013-14. Jalen Williams (hamstring) is questionable for OKC, and Ajay Mitchell (calf) is out.

An advisory from the Frost Bank Center in San Antonio is scheduled for 8:30 pm ET. The Spurs lead the all-time postseason series 21-18, and won the regular season series 4-1. The Spurs are a 3.5-point favorite in the latest Thunder vs. The Spurs appear in the FanDuel Sportsbook, with an over/under total of 219.5 points. Over sports a 4-1 record in the series. Before making any Spurs vs. Thunder, check Thunder vs. Spurs from the SportsLine Projection Model.

The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every NBA game 10,000 times and has returned more than $10,000 per $100 player bet profit on its top NBA picks over eight plus seasons. The model entered the second week of the 2026 NBA playoffs at an impressive 26-10 (72%) among top NBA picks this season. Anyone who follows their NBA betting tips in sportsbooks and betting systems may have seen huge profits.

Now, the model has compared Thunder vs. Spurs 10,000 times and recently revealed its coveted NBA picks and betting predictions. You can head over to SportsLine now to see the model selection. Here are a few NBA odds and NBA betting lines for Spurs vs. Thunder:

Top predictions for Spurs vs. Thunder

After 10,000 plays of Thunder vs. Spurs, the SportsLine model is to Less than total (219.5). The Under scored the last time these two teams played in San Antonio. Spurs play Under 57% of the time at home this season and 52% of the time after a day off.

The SportsLine model projects only three Thunder players to score 13 or more points, led by Shai Gilgeous-Alexander’s 30.1 points. Victor Wembanyama is expected to lead the Spurs with 27 points, but three San Antonio players are expected to score 15 points or more. The Under is hitting 60.6% of the shots, making it a good choice for anyone targeting the NBA parlay betting. See the distribution picks for Thunder vs. Spurs on SportsLine, and you can bet Under in Thunder vs. Spurs on FanDuel here:

How to make a Thunder vs. Spurs

After simulating each Spurs vs. Thunder 10,000 times, the model repeats that one side of the distribution hits more than 50% of the simulations. You can head over to SportsLine to see the NBA’s model selection.

So who wins Thunder vs. Spurs, and which side of the spread lands more than 50% of the time? Visit SportsLine now to see which side Thunder vs. Spurs spread back, all from a model that returned more than $10,000 to the NBA’s top-rated draft picks, and found.