DAVID MARCUS: Top 5 turns that put Trump back in command

In every election there are moments, some obvious at the time, some less so, that shape the nature of the race, leave public opinion on the floor, and in the end of the election, are very different from the way they receive it.

This year is the same and since the race came to a close under the sky in early September, there have been five events — twists and turns in the road — that have led to the sense of panic we see in Democrats, and renewed confidence in Republicans. .

IF 2024 VOTING MATCHES 2020 ELECTION, TRUMP ‘DEFINITELY WINS,’ SAYS CNN DATA GURU.

It’s worth remembering that at the end of August, Kamala Harris was firmly in the lead, Donald Trump was being reviled, even by some on the right, for choosing JD Vance as his running mate, and frankly, the picture looked really sweet. Democracies. But all that was about to change.

Here are five moments that made that change.

1. RFK Jr Endorsing (And Normalizing) Trump

Support for Robert F. Kennedy Jr. Donald Trump at the end of August was the time when Trump was re-elected. Harris was guilty, albeit on a lower salary, but Trump’s campaign was also suspended.

RFK Jr did two things. First, he brought the majority of his voters, as the polls now show us, to Trump, and these are people who are big supporters of Trump or Harris, but trust that Kennedy’s deputy will want to be accountable to both. Second, the endorsement was an arrow to the heart of the argument that Trump is a dictator, or a threat to democracy. If Kennedy didn’t buy it, then most Americans weren’t in the middle.

2. The Harris Debate Victory Mirage

In the minutes after last month’s debate between Harris and Trump, Democrats and their media allies were all over the moon about Kamala speaking her truth forcefully and pulling off the bad man in orange in style.

Others weren’t sure. Yes, Trump seemed soft, and Harris did better than many expected, but he had a unique job to do, which was to tell the American people who he is and what he stands for, especially since he didn’t have the basic cycle to do it. do so. In this count he failed completely, and the voters I spoke to all knew it. It was the biggest missed opportunity of the race for both sides. There was no jump for Harris. In fact, that’s when the votes started to shift to Trump.

3. JD Vance Throws Back

As I have emphasized in these pages for months, the media attacks on JD Vance strangely did not come with the voters, but it was enough, early on to be a stumbling block, which led the polls to declare his nomination as a mistake. He then debated the Democratic Vice Presidential nominee, Tim Walz, with a clear, if not overwhelming, victory.

Before and after the debate, Vance sought out every tough interview he could get and proved himself to be smart and able to defend Trump and populism, even from left-wing talking heads. Today, it is clear that his election was a blessing for this ticket.

4. Joe Biden Voters Jumping Ship

In all the hard odds and going back to last month, the one no one could talk to coming, be it voters, professors, advisors or clairvoyants, that there is a large number of voters, especially in Pennsylvania, who would vote. Scranton Joe, but they don’t vote for Harris.

The explosive moment that revealed this was the refusal of the Teamsters to endorse Kamala after an internal poll of the union showed that while Biden beat Trump, Trump beat Harris among its members. According to Pew Research, Trump now leads the bellwether Catholic vote, which Biden won in 2020. This as Harris refuses to attend the Catholic Al Smith Dinner and Gov. Gretchen Whitmer mocks the Eucharist with a tik tok wearing a Harris Walz hat.

All this could mean the revenge of Joseph Robinette Biden.

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5. Harris’ Embarrassing Media Gauntlet

Last week, as concern turned to panic in Democratic circles, the Hidin’ Harris 2024 campaign realized it had a problem, that no one knew who it was, and it better get on TV. It didn’t go well.

First, he did so poorly on “60 Minutes” that CBS News had to covertly edit his actual answer to a question about Israel when his actual ham-fisted answer is a jingoistic no-nonsense.

Harris then took on “The View,” where he had no idea what the Biden administration should have done differently, and hours later, he failed to answer the same softball question on Stephen Colbert’s show. Harris isn’t ready for prime time, he isn’t ready for day or night, and boy, does it show.

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Election Day is just three weeks away, and a lot can change, but over the past month and a half, every break has gone Trump’s way, and Harris’ willful refusal to explain himself or his policies has kept him from fighting.

Harris’ campaign needs some major late-game changes, but after five turns that put Trump back in command, all he needs to do is stay the course.

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